.
Canadian presidential election
.
Wednesday, September 23, 2015
Tisdale
by: Timothy W. Shire
Tisdale
by: Timothy W. Shire
.
Frustration is the feeling one has when you know for certain they you can do nothing about a situation that you have discovered. So it is that I am feeling frustrated. It goes without saying that this is a rant about something that neither I, nor anyone I know, can make the slightest change in, so it would seem I should quit right now, not be bothered by the frustration and if I do proceed, you need to know, reading this might be a waste of time.
The federal election is on, in fact it just goes on and on, has been doing so for the past nine years of continuous campaigning. I have piled blame upon the Conservatives and their antagonistic arrogant Mr. Bigshot leader but, low and behold, the two main opposition parties have packed their bags and joined the prime minister, in his presidential campaign.
I saw all these signs on the road allowances for our current sitting member of parliament. A typical do nothing sort of guy who never makes a speech, votes as he is told and sends out endless drivel of free postage pamphlets, filled with the copy pouring out of the empty heads in the prime minister’s office. I wanted folks to know that there is an alternative and so my plan was to contact the Liberals and the NDP and get a sign from each and decorate my lawn in a somewhat bipolar manner. Since I do not know who my wife will vote for, and I will not be asking her, a sign for each party would be completely honest.
This is where the frustration kicks in. In my attempt to contact the Liberal running in this riding, I discover that he, though an experienced politician, does not have a web site of his own, he has a page in the federal web site, that does not link to his office, or his constituency, he has a “FaceBook” page as if that is suppose to constitute an actual web site, and through it, I sent a message requesting a sign. The answer floored me, “we don’t have any signs, yet.”
So from that bit of useless information, it is clear that the campaign, if there is one, is strictly a Justin Trudeau campaign, the guy running for president of Canada.
I contacted the NDP and indeed they have a bit of a web site, though it was hard to find, it is the real thing and I made a request for a sign. That immediately evoked a massive email campaign, from the would be next president of Canada, to every wannabe short pants worker in his office, bombed me with about five emails a day, begging for money. I did get a sign, a fellow retired teacher who claimed to know the candidate, apparently he once played a round of golf with him and according to him, “he’s a good guy.” I planted the sign on my front lawn and just as instantly my sister on vacation in the Rockies wants to know if I am aware that the leader of the NDP, their candidate for president of Canada, wears a beard and “can you trust a guy with facial hair.”
So fellow frustrated folks of the Prince Albert constituency, we have three candidates, none of whom seem to stand for anything themselves, but merely support their leader. Their leaders are of course a figment of our collective imagination and sordid sound bites. Though we live in Canada, a place ruled by the Westminster form of representative democracy, our politicians and their supporters, all are running presidential election campaigns. “Who are they trying to kid?” That’s an easy question, they are all trying to kid each and everyone of us, and what are the chances that one of our candidates actually might stand up on his own two legs and have a serious opinion of his own. no chance of that whatever.
Now as a reward to the few, oh so few individuals who have read through my tortured rant, I want to tell you about the final results.
On October 19 I will be having surgery done on my right eye to fix a cataract, this I know for sure, I will already have cast my vote in an advanced poll and these fact are all that I can really count on, the rest is speculation, but the evidence is mounting that my speculation is about to become reality.
On January 1, 2015 I posted on this web site my new years predictions and told everyone that the election would see a Liberal majority, well I am sticking to that. The polls now are showing that the Liberals are a squeak ahead of the NDP and both are more than a squeak ahead of the Conservatives. These next three weeks will see that margin increase and on election night, the television coverage will march across Canada with these outcomes rattling on the screen.
- Atlantic Canada
……..A wasteland for the Conservatives with the NDP picking up a few seats …......here and there and the Liberals cleaning up.
- Quebec
……..A wasteland for the Conservatives with the NDP doing a solid job ……..knocking off the Bloq and making things tense for those already seated ……..Liberals.
- Ontario
……..Not entirely a wasteland for the Conservatives, but they will win, or lead, ……..in so few seats that their present majority will be gutted before the polls ……..close in Sudbury. The NDP will retain some seats, but the lions share of ……..Ontario seats, will become Liberal seats and before Manitobans have ……..finished voting, the Conservative party will just be an echo. Remember ……..there are more seats in Toronto than the prairies and New Brunswick ……..combined.
- Manitoba
……..Polls are already showing that the Conservative have no safe seats in the ……..province and Liberals will make solid gains while some NDP seats will ……..be harvested from the keystone province.
- Saskatchewan
……..About half of Saskatchewan seats could go to the Conservative party but ……..that is overly optimistic. In the urban seats of Regina and Saskatoon the ……..NDP will shine, but my sources among the young folks in both cities are ……..telling me that they are certain of Liberal victories in their ridings.
- Alberta
……..If you think the Conservatives were shocked when the NDP took control ……..of the provincial government, get ready for the horrors they are going to ……..experience when seat after seat of true blue Conservatives go to the NDP ……..and a few to the Liberals. They will be lucky to see one third of the ……..Alberta seats elect conservative candidates.
- British Columbia
……..Momentum is what it is all about. The Conservatives are sliding, the ……..NDP stuck and the Liberals floating on hot air and positive promises. In ……..BC, Conservatives will elect or lead, in fewer seats than the five Green ……..party members expected to be elected. The tally of seats when we leave ……..the Mountain Standard Time zone, will show the Liberals only leading ……..the NDP by a slim number, but in BC the phenomena of Christy Clark ……..will rise once more and don’t believe the projections out there, because ……..the undecided vote will leave things to the last minute and they will vote, ……..and they will vote Liberal. Hence a Liberal majority.
This scenario will collapse if the expected undecided vote does not get up and go and cast ballots, but there are indications that the mood for change is strong enough to make that happen.
Ultimately, the tide that brings the scenario above into actuality, is that the present trend continues. The Conservative keep on preaching to their loyal base about how good they are. The NDP keeps its sights on the lowest common denominator and continues to show little, or no vision. The Liberals keep on wooing the young people with visions of a better Canada, a more compassionate Canada and a place where we can do better. The Liberal leader is a strong open field campaigner and in the last weeks of the election, his charisma and street rallies, will look like 1968 all over again.
Now if you have made it this far thanks for your search for information. There is really no crystal ball, only the past with which we can find evidence of what can and will happen. I have harvest the past and on September 23, 2015 this is how I see it.
The federal election is on, in fact it just goes on and on, has been doing so for the past nine years of continuous campaigning. I have piled blame upon the Conservatives and their antagonistic arrogant Mr. Bigshot leader but, low and behold, the two main opposition parties have packed their bags and joined the prime minister, in his presidential campaign.
I saw all these signs on the road allowances for our current sitting member of parliament. A typical do nothing sort of guy who never makes a speech, votes as he is told and sends out endless drivel of free postage pamphlets, filled with the copy pouring out of the empty heads in the prime minister’s office. I wanted folks to know that there is an alternative and so my plan was to contact the Liberals and the NDP and get a sign from each and decorate my lawn in a somewhat bipolar manner. Since I do not know who my wife will vote for, and I will not be asking her, a sign for each party would be completely honest.
This is where the frustration kicks in. In my attempt to contact the Liberal running in this riding, I discover that he, though an experienced politician, does not have a web site of his own, he has a page in the federal web site, that does not link to his office, or his constituency, he has a “FaceBook” page as if that is suppose to constitute an actual web site, and through it, I sent a message requesting a sign. The answer floored me, “we don’t have any signs, yet.”
So from that bit of useless information, it is clear that the campaign, if there is one, is strictly a Justin Trudeau campaign, the guy running for president of Canada.
I contacted the NDP and indeed they have a bit of a web site, though it was hard to find, it is the real thing and I made a request for a sign. That immediately evoked a massive email campaign, from the would be next president of Canada, to every wannabe short pants worker in his office, bombed me with about five emails a day, begging for money. I did get a sign, a fellow retired teacher who claimed to know the candidate, apparently he once played a round of golf with him and according to him, “he’s a good guy.” I planted the sign on my front lawn and just as instantly my sister on vacation in the Rockies wants to know if I am aware that the leader of the NDP, their candidate for president of Canada, wears a beard and “can you trust a guy with facial hair.”
So fellow frustrated folks of the Prince Albert constituency, we have three candidates, none of whom seem to stand for anything themselves, but merely support their leader. Their leaders are of course a figment of our collective imagination and sordid sound bites. Though we live in Canada, a place ruled by the Westminster form of representative democracy, our politicians and their supporters, all are running presidential election campaigns. “Who are they trying to kid?” That’s an easy question, they are all trying to kid each and everyone of us, and what are the chances that one of our candidates actually might stand up on his own two legs and have a serious opinion of his own. no chance of that whatever.
Now as a reward to the few, oh so few individuals who have read through my tortured rant, I want to tell you about the final results.
On October 19 I will be having surgery done on my right eye to fix a cataract, this I know for sure, I will already have cast my vote in an advanced poll and these fact are all that I can really count on, the rest is speculation, but the evidence is mounting that my speculation is about to become reality.
On January 1, 2015 I posted on this web site my new years predictions and told everyone that the election would see a Liberal majority, well I am sticking to that. The polls now are showing that the Liberals are a squeak ahead of the NDP and both are more than a squeak ahead of the Conservatives. These next three weeks will see that margin increase and on election night, the television coverage will march across Canada with these outcomes rattling on the screen.
- Atlantic Canada
……..A wasteland for the Conservatives with the NDP picking up a few seats …......here and there and the Liberals cleaning up.
- Quebec
……..A wasteland for the Conservatives with the NDP doing a solid job ……..knocking off the Bloq and making things tense for those already seated ……..Liberals.
- Ontario
……..Not entirely a wasteland for the Conservatives, but they will win, or lead, ……..in so few seats that their present majority will be gutted before the polls ……..close in Sudbury. The NDP will retain some seats, but the lions share of ……..Ontario seats, will become Liberal seats and before Manitobans have ……..finished voting, the Conservative party will just be an echo. Remember ……..there are more seats in Toronto than the prairies and New Brunswick ……..combined.
- Manitoba
……..Polls are already showing that the Conservative have no safe seats in the ……..province and Liberals will make solid gains while some NDP seats will ……..be harvested from the keystone province.
- Saskatchewan
……..About half of Saskatchewan seats could go to the Conservative party but ……..that is overly optimistic. In the urban seats of Regina and Saskatoon the ……..NDP will shine, but my sources among the young folks in both cities are ……..telling me that they are certain of Liberal victories in their ridings.
- Alberta
……..If you think the Conservatives were shocked when the NDP took control ……..of the provincial government, get ready for the horrors they are going to ……..experience when seat after seat of true blue Conservatives go to the NDP ……..and a few to the Liberals. They will be lucky to see one third of the ……..Alberta seats elect conservative candidates.
- British Columbia
……..Momentum is what it is all about. The Conservatives are sliding, the ……..NDP stuck and the Liberals floating on hot air and positive promises. In ……..BC, Conservatives will elect or lead, in fewer seats than the five Green ……..party members expected to be elected. The tally of seats when we leave ……..the Mountain Standard Time zone, will show the Liberals only leading ……..the NDP by a slim number, but in BC the phenomena of Christy Clark ……..will rise once more and don’t believe the projections out there, because ……..the undecided vote will leave things to the last minute and they will vote, ……..and they will vote Liberal. Hence a Liberal majority.
This scenario will collapse if the expected undecided vote does not get up and go and cast ballots, but there are indications that the mood for change is strong enough to make that happen.
Ultimately, the tide that brings the scenario above into actuality, is that the present trend continues. The Conservative keep on preaching to their loyal base about how good they are. The NDP keeps its sights on the lowest common denominator and continues to show little, or no vision. The Liberals keep on wooing the young people with visions of a better Canada, a more compassionate Canada and a place where we can do better. The Liberal leader is a strong open field campaigner and in the last weeks of the election, his charisma and street rallies, will look like 1968 all over again.
Now if you have made it this far thanks for your search for information. There is really no crystal ball, only the past with which we can find evidence of what can and will happen. I have harvest the past and on September 23, 2015 this is how I see it.
.
.