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4
Microsoft's
venture into the Internet is a grave threat but the Internet has faced other attacks
in the past and the major problem remains the same now, as it was in the past, and
that is ignorance and lack of understanding, by those not involved. Expect to see
the Internet and the web continue to expand and develop. More computers and more
users will mean that its nature will change, but such was the case with television
and today we are seeing a merging of what television did for us and what the computer
does for us, both are informing and entertaining, but the computer and its connections,
is also a productivity device with a life span of less then three years, so that
it is vastly more expensive then television.
The
limited life of computers is not well understood by the public, as most people view
computers as though they are durable goods, when in fact they are temporary devices
designed to accomplish tasks only with the assistance of software that has even a
shorter life span then the hardware. This self consuming and temporal distortion
is magnified by the consumer who gravitates toward low priced "Intel"
based equipment. Supposing you purchased a new computer in 1988, had you purchased
an Intel based machine, that would have cost two thirds the price of a Motorola based
Apple Macintosh, was less then one quarter as productive in its first two
years of life and by 1990 could not use any of the current software of the day, by
1992, it would have been dysfunctional by its obsolescence. The 1988 Macintosh is
still in use today running software written in the last twelve months.
The
reason for the durability and longevity is related to the underlying software called
the operating system (OS). The Macintosh'ssoftware was built to a fixed
standard and the computer itself was upgradable, or at least compatible with newer
innovations. Now, if we consider the Internet, we immediately realise that this principle
is in effect. A web page created in 1994 looks just as good today and works even
better then it did when created, the standard of html will insure that compatibility
continues and changing technologies of the hardware is less and less significant.
The
big question for business today is, when is the best time to enter the Internet market
place? For every individual business there is a need to consider the market place
they want to access. If you rely upon humans as customers, the likelihood that they
will be developing their information base from the tools and material at hand and
increasingly this is from the Internet. At one time it was considered that affluence
was necessary for people to be using the Internet and owning computers, but that
is now simply no longer the case. With the Internet costing less then cable television
and computers being about the same price as a good television, more and more families
are putting their money into a computer system. |